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Rupee opened lower, Dollar lower vs. major currencies

Thursday,   11-Apr-2019   09:10 AM (IST)

The Indian rupee opened the day lower at 69.21/22 levels compared to its previous close at 69.11/12 levels amid decline in regional currencies and equities. Indian benchmark bond slips in early trade as Brent crude oil prices hit fresh five-month high overnight. Benchmark indices opened flat with a positive bias. At 9:37 AM, the S&P BSE Sensex was trading at 38,627, up 41 points, while the broader Nifty50 was at 11,590, up 5 point. As per the technical indicators range for the USDINR pair may be 68.80-69.40 levels. Rupee has an immediate support at 69.30 levels. A breach of the same may see rupee at 69.47 followed by 69.58 levels. On the positive side rupee is likely to face resistance at 69.02 levels and if it is able to break the same then it may gain up to 68.91 levels followed by 68.74 levels.

The dollar held near two-week lows on Thursday as Federal Reserve minutes reinforced dovish policy expectations while the pound held recent ranges after European leaders extended the deadline for Britain to leave the union, averting a no-deal Brexit. Currency markets are also awaiting a blast of economic data from the world's second-largest economy with March Chinese trade figures due on Friday and first quarter gross domestic product due next week. The U.S. dollar lacked momentum, with its index against six other currencies hovering near a two-week low, after the minutes from the Fed's last meeting enhancing expectations of a dovish policy stance. The British pound traded at $1.3095, unchanged on the day and staying in a triangle holding pattern between $1.2945 and $1.3380 during the past month or so. The EU kicked the can on Brexit down the road for the second time in less than a month, making sure Britain will not crash out of the bloc on Friday, a scenario that many market players have been expecting. Still, the decision did little to boost clarity on exactly how, when, or even if at all, the UK will leave the EU, keeping the pound in check. The dollar index last stood at 96.900, having slipped to a two-week low of 96.823 on Wednesday. The minutes from the Fed's March 19-20 policy meeting confirmed the central bank is likely to leave interest rates unchanged this year. U.S. central bankers also debated possible policy moves the Fed could make after it ended its balance sheet reduction program by September, with some advocating purchases of U.S. Treasury securities at that point. The U.S. consumer price data released on Wednesday also painted a mixed picture, with annual core CPI inflation slipping to 2.0 percent in March, the smallest increase since February 2018. The dollar slipped to 110.95 yen, having fallen 0.68 percent so far this week. The dollar also quickly lost its gain against the euro made after European Central Bank Mario Draghi underscored the risks facing the euro zone economy. The ECB left its ultra-easy stance unchanged as expected on Wednesday and Draghi said economic data is weak. He also confirmed the ECB was considering if measures were needed to mitigate the impact on banks of its negative deposit rates as well as the pricing of new cheap two-year loans to banks.