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Rupee drops after opening higher, Yen lower vs. Dollar

Monday,   15-Apr-2019   09:03 AM (IST)

The Indian rupee opened the day higher at 69.07/08 levels compared to its previous close at 69.15/16 levels but dropped to 69.3025/3125 levels tracking jump in crude oil prices in the previous session, while spike in long-term U.S. yields outweighed upbeat regional risk appetite from U.S.-China trade deal hopes. India’s retail inflation rose to 2.86% on year in March against 2.57% in February. Industrial production in February rose a mere 0.1% compared to growth of 1.7% in the previous month. Indian government bonds edge higher in early trade as core inflation fell in March. Benchmark indices opened flat on Monday, with Sensex barely above the 38,800 levels. At 9:28 AM, the S&P BSE Sensex was trading at 38,872, up 105 points, while the broader Nifty50 was at 11,671, up 28 point. As per the technical indicators range for the USDINR pair may be 68.90-69.50 levels. Rupee has an immediate support at 69.29 levels. A breach of the same may see rupee at 69.45 followed by 69.64 levels. On the positive side rupee is likely to face resistance at 69.02 levels and if it is able to break the same then it may gain up to 68.90 levels followed by 68.80 levels.

The yen hovered near its lowest level this year on Monday as more signs of stabilization in the Chinese economy and an upbeat start to the U.S. earnings season prompted investors to abandon the safe-haven currency to seek higher returns elsewhere. The dollar stood at 112.02 yen, little changed on the day but near Friday's high of 112.10, which was near its year-to-date peak of 112.135 touched in early March. The safe-haven Swiss franc has also eased against the euro, which strengthened to 1.1340 franc, recovering its losses made late last month to hit a three-week high on the franc. The common currency traded at $1.1312, keeping intact its slow recovery from $1.1183 touched on April 2. It rose to as high as $1.1324 on Friday. Chinese data published on Friday showed exports rebounded sharply and new bank loans increased far more than expected in March. Although China's imports remained weak, the data on the whole cemented hopes that the Chinese economy is bottoming out after a soft patch as Beijing has curbed de-leveraging efforts and stepped up support for the economy in recent months. Many market players would need to see a few months of data to confirm the strength of the Chinese economy, Suzuki said, adding that uncertainties still remain on U.S.-china trade talks and Brexit. U.S. stocks also rallied on Friday on strong earnings from JPMorgan and an 11.5-percent jump in Walt Disney Co on news of its streaming services. The S&P 500 index has reached its highest level in six months, coming within sight of testing a record high marked in September last year. The more positive mood helped offset any concerns about upcoming trade talks between the United States and Japan, in which Washington is expected to include a currency provision in a bilateral trade agreement.